TOP IDEAS: New leadership and shareholder base for Avante
Logixx Inc. (TSXV: XX) signal a fresh perspective to create a leading national
security business and to ignite the stock price.
Investorfile's share price accumulation target of $0.40 for
Avante Logixx Inc. was reached on January 7, 2014. For the record, we do not
revise share price targets for our Investorfile Top Ideas - Small Cap Value
Stocks. We have positioned our blog to be one of the first providers of a
pragmatic perspective of a small cap company stock's potential worth, where
there may be uncovered value that has been largely overlooked by the investment
community.
It was just six months ago when we thought that Avante
Logixx could be sold (See: Investorfile Top Ideas have takeout possibilities
brewing), given the strategic review that had been initiated by the Company’s
Board of Directors. What has transpired since was not a sale but a
rejuvenation, a new strategic plan led by a new CEO with an industry track
record who has invested in the Company to become a major shareholder.
Based in Toronto, Avante Logixx Inc. (TSXV: XX – C$0.37)
provides best-in-class and high-end residential and commercial security
services, including system design and installation, rapid alarm response, alarm
monitoring, video analytics, locksmith services and hardware and secure
transport through the use of advanced technology, with a focus on client
service.
In January of 2018, Craig Campbell was appointed CEO of Avante Logixx Inc. A month before his appointment, Mr. Campbell disclosed that
he had acquired common shares of the Company, which equal close to 17 per cent
of the shares outstanding. It seems that most, if not all, of these shares
were acquired in the open market over a span of a few days in December of 2017
at an average share price of about C$0.38.
We note that Avante Logixx is now led by a CEO who is a
veteran security industry entrepreneur. Prior to that, Mr. Campbell was the
founder and CEO of Total Security Management (TSM), a full-service security
provider to Fortune 500 clients. Under his leadership, TSM grew to become Canada’s
largest privately held security firm, with over 3,000 employees and operations
across the country. In 2013, Garda World Security acquired the TSM brand and
guard division (representing 80% of the company) while the remaining business
was rebranded Resilience Capital and was converted into an investment holding
company that Mr. Campbell continues to oversee.
We met with Mr. Campbell during his first week as CEO of
Avante Logixx. Not only do we feel he is a proven growth-oriented leader with
significant security industry experience but, from our meeting, he articulated
a pragmatic vision and growth plan to drive this Company forward, which we feel
would ultimately be reflected in a higher stock price.
The impact of this CEO’s plans will start showing in fiscal
2019 (which began on April 1, 2018). But a recent news release by the Company
outlined the realignment of its corporate structure by decentralizing strategic
operating units of Protective Services, Monitoring & Managed Services,
Electronic Security/Automation, and Security Devices & Hardware to create a
more performance-oriented culture. The Company has also already started the
amalgamation of its residential and commercial security units, which are its
major subsidiaries to gain cost synergies. Mr. Campbell has said, "This
reorganization will help unlock the value and growth potential of our
businesses. It will drive focused investment of our largest growth
opportunities. It is the logical next step in our effort to shift our company’s
centre of gravity, accelerate our growth trajectory and maximize value for our
shareholders.”
We believe there will be significant M&A activity with
this CEO to take Avante Logixx to the next level. The focus will continue to be
on acquiring high-quality security businesses to be a leader in local markets
across Canada,
with the possibility of consolidating its geographic presence through further
strategic M&A to make it a national market leader. We think the Company
will look to finance M&A activity through combinations consisting of cash,
equity and debt. Currently Avante Logixx has over C$3.5 million in cash on hand
and nominal debt. Today the Company’s businesses already generate very good
cash-flow.
With this new CEO there is also a change occurring in the
Company’s shareholder base. In a public filing, Polar Asset Management Partners
Inc. disclosed that it recently purchased 9 million of the Company’s shares (at
an average cost of about C$0.37) in the open market, raising its ownership
stake to 16.52% in Avante Logixx. We view this as a positive endorsement of the
new CEO and the future prospects of the Company.
Our last profile blog post on Avante Logixx was in
September 2016 (See: Avante Logixx is a buying opportunity to take advantage of
today). At that time the stock was trading at C$0.25 and we continued to
reiterate our buy recommendation of the Company’s shares by suggesting that
small cap investors should accumulate Avante Logixx’s stock up to a price of
C$0.40. Given the major investments by the new CEO and institutional investors
at the current trading levels, we are very comfortable continuing our above
recommendation with the caveat that the stock’s upside may be much stronger
now.
Avante Logixx has about 81.6 million shares
outstanding.
Company website: www.avantelogixx.com
Author Ownership Disclosure: TSXV: XX - Yes
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author's independent analysis and judgment and does not guarantee the
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Investorfile.com is not engaged in an investor relations agreement with Avante
Logixx Inc. nor has it received any compensation from Avante Logixx Inc. for
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The author of this article has acquired and may trade shares of Avante Logixx
Inc. through open market transactions and for investment purposes only. |