TOP IDEAS: Revenue and profits
continue to support the small cap value buy for shares in AirIQ Inc. (TSXV:
IQ).
AirIQ Inc. (TSXV: IQ $0.105) is the smallest
company that the Investorfile blog has ever undertaken to cover as one of its
Top Ideas – Small Cap Value stocks. But that’s okay, because this Company
continues to be profitable.
Last week AirIQ reported its third quarter
results for fiscal 2016. In Q3 revenues grew 32% to $882,000 and EBITDA
improved by 118% to $172,000. Net income for the quarter was $125,000 up 184%
and the Company generated $135,000 in cash flow from operations. This is
the seventh quarter in a row that AirIQ has recorded a profit since its
turnaround.
AirIQ has been providing Global Positioning
Service (GPS) solutions for over 15 years to customers throughout North America. The Company offers a suite of asset
management services, end-to-end wireless solutions, which allows operators for
fleets of delivery trucks, service vehicles and rental or company cars the
ability to monitor, manage and protect their mobile assets on a simple and
cost-effective basis.
Over two-thirds of the Company’s revenues
are recurring from the monthly wireless airtime fees earned from the connection
of AirIQ’s GPS hardware devices that are sold and installed on the mobile
assets of its customers. Most of AirIQ’s airtime customers are supported by two
to three-year term service contracts. The Company has a variety of customers
located in both the USA and Canada.
In 2016, the GPS industry is undergoing
change as most GPS solution providers for mobile assets must make the
transition with their customers from 2G to 3G service, thus the termination of
legacy 2G GPS units and airtime contracts. Fortunately AirIQ has been very proactive
in this process. Today over 85% of the Company’s current customer base is
connected and contracted for 3G service. Over the short-term, the Company’s
revenue growth rate could slow as the remaining 15% of AirIQ customers make
this transition. The offset: It is a great opportunity for AirIQ to win new
customers who are transitioning to a 3G wireless network.
Investorfile was first attracted to AirIQ’s
story (See: AirIQ is a
technology company small in size but the stock is big in value) by
the stock’s valuation and how the Company’s management demonstrated that it can
grow its business profitably. That said, we speculate there will be more
profits as the Company's revenues continue to grow over time. Recent quarterly
results confirm our outlook: Within the next 12 to 18 months we believe AirIQ
can reach a quarterly revenue run-rate of $1 million or $4 million annually and
earn 20% EBITDA margins, totaling $800,000 annually.
Based on this financial scenario, we
continue to recommend that small cap investors should accumulate the shares of
AirIQ up to a price of $0.20. At $0.20 (which is almost double its current stock
price) the shares would still not be overvalued, trading at less than seven
times Enterprise Value (EV) /EBITDA. This is based on the Company's current
capital structure.
If AirIQ continues to grow its profits we
believe the stock price will exceed $0.20. With a higher stock currency there
is a possibility of merger and acquisition activity and, thus, more upside for
the stock price.
AirIQ has approximately 28.9 million shares
outstanding.
The Company's website: www.airiq.com
Author's share ownership disclosure: IQ -
Yes
Read
Disclaimer:
This
article is for informational purposes only. This article is based on the
author's independent analysis and judgment and does not guarantee the
information's accuracy or completeness. The information contained in this
article is subject to change without notice, and the author assumes no
responsibility to update the information contained in this article. The
information contained within this article should not be construed as offering
of investment advice. Those seeking direct investment advice, should consult a
qualified, registered, investment professional. This is not a direct or implied
solicitation to buy or sell securities. Readers are advised to conduct their
own due diligence prior to considering buying or selling any stock.
Investorfile.com
is not engaged in an investor relations agreement with AirIQ Inc. nor has it received any compensation from AirIQ Inc. the preparation or distribution of this article.
The
author of this article has acquired and may trade shares of AirIQ Inc. through open market transactions and for investment purposes
only. |